Paradoxes Resolved, Origins Illuminated
Paradoxes Resolved, Origins Illuminated
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T O P I C    R E V I E W
Samizdat Posted - 05 Dec 2005 : 16:29:49
Has any of you read, or have you preliminary thoughts on the new book by Michael Strauss, "Requiem for Relativity: the Collapse of Special Relativity?"

http://www.relativitycollapse.net/
20   L A T E S T    R E P L I E S    (Newest First)
Jim Posted - 11 Sep 2014 : 15:24:13
Dr Joe, You must know more about the new radar data of the area than I and I wonder if it changes your findings. Archeology is also busy in the Middle East finding stuff dating to ~8,000 years ago. All this new data must change the current perspective on what it all meant.
Jim Posted - 19 Aug 2014 : 13:37:09
Dr. Joe, This is a good example of how people were able to organize way back when sea level was much lower than it is today and only a few million people lived on the planet. They had natural abilities and intellect as well as everything they needed to build stuff that would decay in a few centuries. We have very few clues to what they did or why they did it. We have no clue about what life was like for a population smaller than a modern major city with the whole planet available tax free.























Joe Keller Posted - 18 Aug 2014 : 19:04:42
quote:
Originally posted by Jim

Hi Dr Joe, I read something about dna being found in American Indians that matches dna found in the middle east and they say it arrived in the Americas at least 3,000 years ago. ...


Excellent point. There is the beautiful giant stone head found in Mesoamerica, nicknamed "Baby Face" who is a typical West African.

Quetzalcoatl himself might have been a visiting European, like the navigator, Adams, in the true story that became the movie "Shogun". The story of "ascending to heaven on a rope" might be just how centuries of the game of Post Office altered the true memory of the impressive ropes holding the cloudlike sails of Quetzalcoatl's European style sailboat.
Jim Posted - 14 Aug 2014 : 23:32:21
Hi Dr Joe, I read something about dna being found in American Indians that matches dna found in the middle east and they say it arrived in the Americas at least 3,000 years ago. If dna from the middle east migrated from there to America more than 3,000 years ago I wonder if many other unknown events occurred way back when Stonehendge was an active human settlement. How far did people travel and how much did they know? Have you seen any of the dna stuff being done at this time, Dr. Joe?
Joe Keller Posted - 21 Jul 2014 : 18:28:27
TEOTIHUACAN ANALYSIS REWORKED: DOOMSDAY SEPTEMBER 8, 2016

Joseph C. Keller

Joseph C. Keller, 16201 620th Ave., Roland, Iowa U.S.A. 50236
(josephckeller@gmail.com)


Abstract. The main angles of the urban plan of Teotihuacan, all accurately correspond to sky angles involving Venus, Jupiter, Regulus, Spica, and the autumnal equinox point. Equality between the latitudes of Teotihuacan and Cholula, and the declinations of Algieba and Arcturus, corroborates the correspondence. The correspondence occurs at the present time, not some ancient time. The correspondences involving Venus and Jupiter, indicate 01:39 Greenwich Mean Time, September 8, 2016AD. Possibly Mesoamericans desired to warn future people of a catastrophe predicted to recur at that time. The designers of Teotihuacan may well have had such doomsday knowledge, because the accuracy of the astronomical data and calculations needed to create these correspondences, is no worse than fractions of an arcminute in thousands of years, comparable to the accuracies achieved in our own civilization's modern era.

Prerequisites. This paper must assume knowledge of the elements of spherical astronomy (i.e. celestial coordinates and equinox precession) available in introductory college astronomy texts and in popular field guides to astronomy. The calculations of this article, require facility in U. S. high school geometry, trigonometry and analytic geometry. Readers lacking such facility can take the calculations on faith, without impairing their understanding of the rest of this article. As on many pocket calculators and in the BASIC computer language, a star (*) denotes multiplication.

Giza vs. Teotihuacan. Many authors have noted the high precision of Teotihuacan's urban plan, which contrasts with the variable and approximate use of similar angles in later Mesoamerican urban plans which seem to mimic Teotihuacan. Just as Egyptian temples often were rebuilt again and again over millennia, on the same foundation with the same location and orientation, the Teotihuacan structures might reflect a design much older, than the oldest dates yet found by archaeological dating of the structures now extant. This paper makes the case, via an implied small shift in Earth's geographic pole relative to the land mass, that Teotihuacan's design is of the same vintage as the design of Giza.

Cholula and the Mayan Long Count. As an instructive preliminary example, let us consider the correspondence between the Cholula pyramid, and the declination of the star Arcturus. The geographic latitude of the Cholula pyramid is 19.0575deg N. The declination of Arcturus was +19.182408 at 2000.0AD, using 2000.0AD celestial coordinates. The change in declination due to precession, may be calculated from the handy "rigorous" formula found in editions of the Astronomical Almanac c. 1990, or obtained directly online through the "NASA Lambda" utility (these are "mean" precession formulas, i.e. they ignore the changes of a few arcseconds, due to aberration and nutation); using the former here, I find that the change is -0.004614deg per year. Also, the star itself is moving; this "proper motion" change, which is extraordinarily large in the case of Arcturus, in declination is -0.000555deg/yr. Lastly there is the small alteration in the geographic latitude of Cholula, which seems to have occurred since its foundation. Most likely this is practically the same as for Teotihuacan, which has been estimated below as -1.231*177.1 arcseconds = -0.06056deg. Equating the original geographic latitude of the Cholula pyramid, to the modern ("mean", ignoring aberration and nutation) declination of Arcturus, is by solving the equation

19.0575 + 0.06056 = 19.182408 + T * ( -0.004614 - 0.000555)

which gives T = 12.45. That is, if Earth's pole had not shifted at all, Arcturus would have reached the zenith over the Cholula pyramid in June 2012, ignoring aberration and nutation. Aberration affects Arcturus' declination by as much as 0.0020deg and nutation's effect is comparably large, so these effects are equivalent to as much as about half a year error. This looks suspiciously like the end of the Mayan Long Count, December 21, 2012.

The pole shift has been estimated below, as a multiple of the Giza pole shift, from linear interpolation and extrapolation involving the mean declination of Algieba, which is accurate enough to be used with the ground direction measurements with their relatively large error bars. So, this pole shift estimate cannot be precise enough to be tested against the effects of aberration and nutation. Another approach must be taken: see the section, "Arcturus and Algieba..." below.


Analysis of Teotihuacan Ground Directions. At Teotihuacan, we have six important directions:

#1. The pyramid of the Moon - pyramid of the Sun line. On Millon's paper map at the Iowa State University library, I have measured this as 2.1064 +/- 0.0243 deg W of N. The error bar is my crude estimate of the error due to my ability to read fractions of a millimeter on a wooden ruler: it ignores error due to stretching and slight tearing of this 40 year old paper map. So, the true error bar is probably larger and likely considerably larger; a nominal error of 3 sigma should not be dismissed, as it is likely overestimated.

#2. The line to geographic north. As Petrie noted, the most reliable orientations at Giza suggest true north at Giza has changed by a few arcminutes, and Petrie thought this could be due to climate change causing major change in ocean currents. Earth mantle changes also are possible. Many have remarked that likely, the Great Pyramid originally was exactly 30deg N. Petrie estimated that at the time of construction of the Great Pyramid, true north there was 5'40" +/- 10" W of true N today. Also, the Great Pyramid today is 1'15.6" S of 30.0deg N. As viewed from Teotihuacan, this small pole shift, relative to Earth's crust, would have given a true north 262.3" E of true N today, and a latitude 177.1" greater than today.

#3. The Avenue of the Dead orientation (the "15.5deg angle"). Millon (1973) favors the value 15deg25' E of N; Sprajc (2000) favors the competing value 15deg28'. These values were found by competing investigators decades ago. As Sprajc's publication is the more recent, I'll favor him in my adopted round-number compromise value, 15deg27', E of present-day N.

#4. The "16.5deg angle". There is another cluster of orientations of structures near 16.5deg S of E. According to Sprajc's citations, it seems that the most carefully determined values are 16.3deg, 16deg26', and 16deg29', so I'll adopt the compromise 16deg27.5' S of present-day E.

#5. The pyramid of the Moon - pyramid of the Feathered Serpent (a.k.a. Temple of Quetzalcoatl) line. By measuring the two acute interpyramid angles (always to the centers, i.e. intersection of diagonals, of the top marked levels of the pyramids) on Millon's map with a steel meter stick, and a sheet of paper as a right angle (weighting the two ways of doing this, according to the distance involved) I find that this is 8.91deg E of the Moon-Sun line (see #1 above). The two methods afford an error estimate of 0.03deg.

#6. The pyramid of the Sun - pyramid of the Feathered Serpent line. As in #5, I find that this is 15.04deg E of the Moon-Sun line. An error estimate as in #5, would give 0.06deg.

It turns out that #1 through #3, correspond to sky angles characteristic of 2013AD, as does the declination of Algieba.
Let's consider the problem of signifying a time, using only the universal language of astronomy and mathematics. A time a few thousand years in the future, could be specified by the angles of spherical triangles which include the equinox as one of their corners and stars as the other corners. This scheme would be easiest to decipher, if the angle specified always is the angle at the equinox. Then, this collection of triangles amounts to a collection of great circles, each through one star and the equinox. The concept of great circle may be eliminated, by using instead, a circle (generally not a great circle) which is uniquely specified by two stars plus the equinox. The most obvious such circle is the circle containing Regulus, Spica, and the autumnal equinox. These stars are both bright, both blue (color coding) and both near the ecliptic and the equinox.

(1) At the equinox, this Regulus-autumnal equinox-Spica circle makes the angle 26.6863deg S of E, at 2000.0AD, and 26.6373deg S of E, at 2020.0AD, using the mean position of the equinox and of the stars (including proper motion) involved. Let's denote this angle by (1).
Now two additional obvious circles are:

(2) Through Regulus and the two equinoxes; this is a great circle which, as explained in (1), makes the angle 24.36411 at 2000.0 and 24.37061 at 2020.0.

(3) Through Regulus, the autumnal equinox, and the north pole; this makes the angle 8.91880 at 2000.0 and 9.08516 at 2020.0.
From now on, all these angles will be interpolated linearly in the domain 2000-2020AD. The Teotihuacan ground angle #1 minus #3, does not involve the geographic pole. If the real ground angle #2 minus #1, is 2*0.0243deg, i.e. 2 sigma, greater than my measured value, and #3 minus #2 is 15deg27' as adopted, then (1) minus (3) equals #1 minus #3, at 2015.09AD. If 3 sigma, then at 2012.83AD. Each of these dates implies a certain angle (1) minus (2), and thus a certain pole shift E of N, for the time of pyramid construction, so that (1) minus (2) shall equal #1 minus (the ancient) #2. The 2 sigma error implies a pole shift 1.720 times the Giza shift (if only pole shifts proportional to the Giza shift are considered) and the 3 sigma error implies a pole shift 1.473 times. (Recall that my value of sigma is an underestimate, so these "2 sigma" and "3 sigma" errors are really somewhat smaller sigma values.) The former implies that the mean declination of Algieba equals the geographic latitude of the Moon pyramid - Sun pyramid midpoint, at 2011.98AD, and the latter implies 2014.36AD. Interpolating, a 2.670 sigma error implies 1.5544 times the Giza shift, and that both the (1) minus (2), and the Algieba declination, criteria are met at 2013.58AD, in remarkable agreement with the Mayan calendar.

If the true, or intended, direction of the Avenue of the Dead (perhaps more accurately translated "Memorial Drive") is 15deg24', then the solution is mid-2016AD rather than mid-2013AD. Putting the finest point on it, 15deg27.6' corresponds to the Mayan end date in Dec. 2012; 15deg24.1' corresponds to the Venus date described below, in Sept. 2016. The true direction can vary this much, depending on how various structures are weighted in determining the direction. A few years disagreement might not be surprising with the Mayan Calendar starting at 3114BC, Manetho's chronology at about 3110BC, and the Kali Yuga of India at 3102BC. If 15deg24.1' is adopted, then a repeat of the foregoing analysis is consistent with a pole shift 1.231 times that implied at Giza - almost equal, considering the 3%, maybe more, error that Petrie assumed.

With the 15deg24.1' value, the meaning of directions #5 and #6 becomes clear. These directions correspond to the directions, at the autumnal equinox, of circles on the celestial sphere, through Regulus-Venus-autumnal equinox, and Spica-Venus-autumnal equinox, respectively, on Sept. 8, 2016 at 01h39m GMT. Assuming the mean positions of Regulus and Spica at 2016.68AD (disregarding aberration and nutation) and my measured directions #5 and #6, the point of intersection of the two circles, is at right ascension 190.4341, declination -3.6080. At the abovementioned time, Venus misses this point by only 47 arcseconds. This error is comparable to what could arise from my error estimate for directions #5 and #6, or from the effects of aberration and nutation on the positions of the stars. So, the agreement of theory and observation is essentially perfect.

Thus the three sides of the triangle made by the three largest pyramids at Teotihuacan, correspond to the three subsets of two, possible within the set containing Regulus, Spica, and Venus. To say it another way, The pyramid of the Moon corresponds to Regulus, of the Sun to Spica, and of the Feathered Serpent to Venus.

Finally the significance of direction #4 becomes obvious. It pertains to Jupiter. At the time Venus fits the angles, namely 01h39m GMT Sept. 8, 2016, the apparent right ascension of Jupiter is 180.16124 and declination +1.12245. That Jupiter is so near the equinox at this time, is significant in itself, but direction #4 puts an even finer point on it. For this time, direction #1 (see first page) corresponds to the sky angle (1), 26.6453deg S of E. From this I subtract

my measured angle 2.1064deg

and my implied measurement error +0.0243deg*3.285

to get the sky angle corresponding to present-day geographic N. I then subtract

(90deg + 16deg17.1')

to get the sky angle, E of N, arctan(0.16124/1.12245), which is Jupiter's direction from the equinox (spherical trigonometry is not needed at this precision). Jupiter's distance from the equinox is so tiny, that the difference between 16deg17.1' and 16deg27.5' corresponds to only 0.00347deg = 0.83 seconds of right ascension = 12.5 arcseconds. A stricter analogy between the 15.5 and 16.5 degree directions, would be a circle through the fall equinox, Jupiter, and the N pole. This gives an additional 4.8' E of N, implying 16deg12.3' for the 16.5 degree angle at Teotihuacan.

The small difference in latitude between the pyramids of the Sun and Moon, corresponds, at least approximately, to the largest shift in the declination of the star Algieba, that can occur during the course of a year, due to aberration, precession and nutation (based on inspection of the 1980 IAU nutation amplitudes).


Arcturus and Algieba, Cholula and Teotihuacan, and Giza

As noted above, Regulus and Spica are a color-coded blue pair of stars; likewise Arcturus and Algieba are a color-coded orange pair, with Arcturus being to Cholula what Algieba is to Teotihuacan. Let's assume that if there had been no pole shift, then Arcturus would have reached the zenith over the Cholula pyramid at 2012.97AD (end of Mayan Long Count) and Algieba the zenith over the pyramid of the Moon at Teotihuacan, at 2016.68AD, the date found above, when Venus and Jupiter correspond to some of the angles at Teotihuacan. Let's also assume, as above, that the pole shift is some multiple of that implied by Petrie's survey at Giza.

Both stars must satisfy the equation:

present pyramid geographic latitude
- N*(latitude effect of Giza's implied pole shift)
= star's J2000.0/epoch2000.0 declination + T*(rate of change due to precession and proper motion)
+ nutation-caused difference from mean position
+ aberration-caused difference from mean position

The nutation terms are -1.60" for Arcturus at 2012.97 and -1.84" for Algieba at 2016.68, using the principal (18.6 year) nutation period only, whose amplitude is about 10 times bigger than all the other, shorter, nutation periods' amplitudes combined. Stellar parallax, a fraction of an arcsecond, is ignored. The aberration terms are approximately -5.60" and +6.26" for Arcturus and Algieba, resp. The effect of the Giza pole shift at Teotihuacan is -177.1" geographic latitude and at Cholula slightly more, -179.4".

Solving gives N = 1.121 for Cholula and N = 1.182 for Teotihuacan (using the pyramid of the Moon; its unique design and privileged location at the terminus of the Avenue of the Dead, recommend it). These are the multiples of the Giza pole shift, that would have had to occur, for Arcturus to have been at the zenith over the Cholula pyramid, if that pyramid had remained at its original latitude, at the end of the Mayan Long Count, 2012.97AD; and for Algieba likewise to be at the zenith over Teotihuacan at 2016.68AD, the time implied by the correspondence, between Teotihuacan's ground directions and the planets Venus and Jupiter. This suggests two rival predictions, 2012.97AD and 2016.68AD, and that the latter prediction was the earlier. On the other hand, if nutation and aberration effects are ignored, solving gives N = 1.161 for Cholula and N = 1.157 for Teotihuacan, so, since these are practically equal, maybe the plans of the structures were contemporaneous.

The implied pole shifts are almost the same as inferred by Petrie: for example, 1.16 is 16 percent too large, 4.3 sigma, using Petrie's apparently rather arbitrary 3.75 percent error bar (the shift of the Great Pyramid to exactly 30N, partly cancels the effect, at Mexico, of the 5'40" E of N shift, and thus somewhat magnifies the effect of Petrie's estimated 10" error bar for the E of N shift). With nearby mountains, the geodetic quantity "xi", i.e. the north-south deflection of an actual plumb bob from the geographic vertical of the reference ellipsoid, should amount to several arcseconds at these locations, and might explain the discrepancy from Petrie. The author met with three faculty members at Iowa State Univ.; neither he nor any of them were able to obtain the needed geodetic information, even approximately, online or anywhere. One of the faculty members, an active full professor and geophysicist, told the author that the condition of the U. S. Geodetic Survey website is so poor that it is impractical use it. No response, other than the automated confirmation, was obtained from the author's online request to the Bureau Gravimetrique International. Perhaps a reader can find the geodetic "xi" data.


Appendix. Outline of mathematical methods; astronomical data sources.

Geometry and Analytic Geometry.

Problem A. Find the angle at the equinox point O, of a circle on the celestial sphere, through the equinox and two other points P and Q.

Method: Form the vectors P-O and Q-O. Find the y and z components of their Gibbs-Heaviside cross product, then arctan(y/z).

Problem B. Given circles C1 and C2 on the celestial sphere, each through the equinox O and points P1 or P2 respectively, which make angles A1 or A2 at O. Find the intersection of C1 and C2.

Method: For each circle, write the equation of the plane through O, cutting the celestial sphere perpendicularly at angle A. Also write the equation of the plane through O which is tangent to the sphere. Find the linear combination of these planes, which contains P. Then find the intersection of the two planes corresponding to circles C1 and C2, then the point where this line pierces the celestial sphere.


Astronomical Data and Calculations.

For precise planetary coordinates at future times, the author uses the online "Horizons" ephemeris of the Jet Propulsion Laboratory of California, which gives "apparent" positions in the coordinates of the equinox and ecliptic of date, including nutation and aberration effects. Many sources, online and hardcopy, give stellar coordinates to the nearest arcsecond, with an estimate of the proper motion; any of these is suitable for the work of this paper. However, with a view toward possible greater precision requirements in the future, the author has used the most recent and precise catalog information he could find on the online VizieR service: the proper motions and International Coordinate Reference System (ICRS) epoch 2000.0 coordinates of the Hipparcos "main" catalog, for Regulus and Spica; and, the proper motions and J2000 epoch 2000.0 coordinates of the Catalog of Stars with High Proper Motions (Ivanov, 2008) for Arcturus and Algieba. The difference between the ICRS and J2000 coordinate systems is apparently somewhat vague, theoretically no more than about 0.02 arcsecond, but maybe several times that in practice.

The stellar coordinates must be converted to the "mean" equinox and ecliptic of date, using the online NASA Lambda service or else the straightforward yet rigorous formula in, e.g., the years 1990 and 2000 Astronomical Almanac (p. B18); then the nutation and aberration effects can be added to that, using well-known approximate formulas, e.g. the year 2000 Astronomical Almanac pp. B20 and B17, resp. In the aberration formula, the Earth velocity for 2000AD may be used as a substitute for the same date in 2012AD or 2016AD because these years all are at the same place in the leap year cycle. The most thorough list of coefficients for calculating nutation, is found in the 1984 Astronomical Almanac.


References.

United States Naval Observatory. Astronomical Almanac, 1984, 1990, 2000.

Jet Propulsion Laboratory. "JPL Horizons Ephemeris" online.

Millon, Rene. The Teotihuacan Map. (University of Texas Press, 1973).

Petrie, W. M. F. The Pyramids and Temples of Gizeh (1883). Online, Oaten and Birdsall, eds., www.ronaldbirdsall.com.

Sprajc, Ivan. Latin American Antiquity 11:402-415, 2000.

Strasbourg University. VizieR online catalog service.
Joe Keller Posted - 28 Jun 2014 : 18:00:20
Teotihuacan - Mother Lode of Archaeoastronomy (update of June 22 post)

Teotihuacan is a "precessional alarm clock" (phrase due to John Major Jenkins). At the time for which the "alarm clock" is set,

1) the mean declination of Algieba equals the geographic latitude of the Pyramid of the Sun - Pyramid of the Moon midpoint;

2) the angles between four circles (not great circles) through the autumnal equinox on the celestial sphere, are the same as the angles between the four lines, through the centers of the tops of the Pyramids of Sun and Moon; geographic north-south; orientation of the Avenue of the Dead, etc. (often called the 15.5deg orientation); and the orientation of some other structures including the early lower south face of the Feathered Serpent Pyramid, a.k.a. Temple of Quetzalcoatl (this is often called the 16.5deg orientation).

The three circles all contain Regulus and the autumnal equinox. One circle contains Polaris, one contains Spica and one contains Dschubba.

The circle containing Polaris makes, at the equator, an angle 9.10669deg south of east at the equinox and epoch 2000.0 and 9.23943 at 2020.0.

The circle containing Spica makes 26.68628 at 2000.0 and 26.63725 at 2020.0.

The circle containing Dschubba makes 24.76731 at 2000.0 and 24.76606 at 2020.0.

My measurement on Millon's map (hardcopy at Iowa State Univ. library) finds that the Pyramid of Sun - Pyramid of Moon line is 2.1064deg W of N (I'll call this the "interpyramid angle"); Wikipedia gives coordinates that imply the mean expected and maximum-likelihood interpyramid angle is 1.5231 but because of large rounding error, possibly as large as 2.2840. So, tentatively I'll estimate the angle as the average (2.1064 + 1.5231)/2 = 1.81475 +/- 0.29165.

Unlike the interpyramid angle, the Avenue of the Dead angle has been studied extensively (see Sprajc, Latin American Antiquity 11:402-415, 2000). The two most prominent estimates are 15deg28' (favored by Sprajc) and 15deg25' (favored by Millon) E of N. So, I'll use 15deg26.5' = 15.44167.

Yet another angle found in some structures seems to have been most carefully estimated as 16deg26' or 16deg29' (the latter is S of E along the early lower south face of the Feathered Serpent Pyramid a.k.a. Temple of Quetzalcoatl). So, I'll use 16deg27.5' = 16.45833. This angle will be discussed in the section "Feathered Serpent and Barbarossa", below.

Behold, the Spica circle is 1.91897deg, for 2000.0, and 1.87119deg, for 2020.0, S of the Dschubba circle. By linear extrapolation this difference equals, at 2043.6 +/- 122.1 AD, the angle between the interpyramid line and the NS line, 1.81475 +/- 0.29165deg.

Much smaller error bars occur for the angle between the Avenue of the Dead and the NS line. The Dschubba circle is 15.57959, for 2000.0, and 15.52663, for 2020.0, S of the Polaris circle. By linear extrapolation this equals 15.44167 at 2052.1 +/- 9.4 AD.


Returning to the discussion of (1), the mean declination of Algieba, for the equinox of date and including proper motion, is 19.84167 for 2000.0 and 19.73980 for 2020.0. The geographic latitude of the midpoint of the Pyramids of Sun and Moon is (19.6925 + 19.6996)/2 = 19.69605. Extrapolation gives equality at 2028.6 AD.

From my measurement on Millon's map, the difference in geographic latitude, between the Pyramids of Sun and Moon, is 26.0725". Wikipedia gives 25.5600" +/- 0.1800" rounding error. So, I'll use the mean, 25.81625" +/- 0.25625". Algieba's aberration in declination at conjunction is +7.4073", and at opposition -7.5794". Its parallax in declination is 0.0077" more positive at opposition than at conjunction. Due to eccentricity, the time from conjunction forward to opposition is considerably less than 0.5 sidereal year; the mean declination change due to precession and proper motion is -9.0217". (These are first order calculations in eccentricity and the last digit or two might be inaccurate.) So we see that ignoring nutation, the declination change from conjunction forward to opposition is currently 24.0007", only 1.81555" +/- 0.25625" less than the interpyramid change in geographic latitude.

Now let us examine the 1980 IAU theory of nutation as published in the 1984 Astronomical Almanac. The largest, IAU #1, 18.6 yr terms give, for the declination of Algieba, -6.2003" in amplitude for the sine term and 3.8901" for the cosine term. The most negative rate of change occurs for theta = arctan(3.8901/6.2003) = 32.104deg phase, and this rate of change is -1.2354" per 0.5 Julian year. At this same phase, the rate of change due to the IAU #2, 9.3 yr terms is +0.0448" per 0.5 Julian yr. The second largest term is IAU #9, the 0.5 yr term, but this term hardly contributes because it is almost exactly one period from Algieba's conjunction to opposition. The amplitudes, for change in Algieba's declination, of the remaining 37-9 = 28 sine terms, with period one year or less, on the first page of the list (the sine terms are all bigger than the cosine terms) sum to 0.2331"; twice this is an estimate of their largest possible contribution. So, we have estimated the most negative possible contribution of nutation, to the change in Algieba's declination from conjunction to opposition, as -1.2354+0.0448-2*0.2331 = -1.6568", remarkably close to the -1.81555 +/- 0.25625 implied by the interpyramid spacing. In brief, the latitude difference of the Pyramids of Sun and Moon tells us the largest possible change in Algieba's apparent declination, from conjunction forward to opposition, at the present epoch.


"Feathered Serpent and Barbarossa"

In 2007 I discovered on online sky surveys, that our Sun has a satellite solar system, most likely chiefly a pair of very cold brown dwarfs, orbiting the Sun at about 300AU near the positive dipole of the so-called Cosmic Microwave Background. By 2009 I had calculated the center of mass orbit, amassed many lines of supporting evidence, and given a lecture on the subject to the regional amateur astronomy society. I invested much effort, including many personal interviews, in seeking to convince professional astronomers to investigate the matter, without success. There has been a small, ambiguously successful effort by amateur astronomers but with only marginally adequate equipment and minimal resources of observing time. It would not be too great a digression to mention here one of the simplest and most compelling bits of evidence: the exceptionally great, unexplained "interstellar" absorption of light from two stars in that direction: 61 Leonis and Theta Crateris; this is evidence of a nebula associated with this small satellite solar system.

Rechecking my old notes, I recalled that the main object, which I named "Barbarossa", was fitted by me with an orbit of eccentricity 0.61 and period 6340 yr. I found the heliocentric position for the winter solstice, 2012, and estimated that the orbit lay within a degree of its outbound latus rectum at that time. The object was crossing lines of declination at an angle arctan(0.50) S of E.

With the above information I now can calculate the circle through Regulus, the autumnal equinox, and Barbarossa. This circle corresponds to the "16.5 degree" line at Teotihuacan, because (interpolating between 2020.0AD & 2040.0AD positions) at 2025.1 AD it makes the same angle with the Regulus - autumnal equinox - Dschubba circle, that the "16.5 degree" S of E line makes with geographic north. This circle on the celestial sphere moves rapidly, its slope at the autumnal equinox moving more than 0.5 degrees per year, because Barbarossa's period is only about a fourth the precession period, and the circle is small because of Barbarossa's position. So if my orbit is accurate, the error bar on 2025.1 AD is small. Note that this agrees well with the estimate based on the declination of Algieba, 2028.6 AD. Just as the Hindu reference year 3102BC equals the Mayan reference year 3114BC plus 12 yr., likewise 2025AD equals the 2012AD winter solstice, i.e. approx. 2013AD, plus 12 yr.

Finally there is the line through the top centers of the Pyramids of Moon and Sun. Let these points be M and S, resp. The south face of the Feathered Serpent Pyramid (Barbarossa lies near the constellation Hydra = Feathered Serpent?) extends to a line segment which intersects the line MS, at F, a point east of the Feathered Serpent Pyramid. Let the southeast corner of the Feathered Serpent Pyramid, be C. According to my rough, hasty measurements on Millon's map, we have

CF / (CF + FS + SM) = 45.77/360 [45.72/360]

FS / (CF + FS + SM) = 192.64/360 [195.33/360]

The numbers in brackets are from my remeasurement July 9 on Millon's small map, Fig. 13A, in the hardback "Urbanization" vol. 1 accompanying the maps; this is because I didn't have time to reshelve the map myself so it is unfindable during a prolonged library "reshelving" process, a common problem at ISU.

The former number, using the average 45.745, exactly equals the fraction of the circular arc southward from the autumnal equinox to Barbarossa, in the equinox-Barbarossa-Regulus circle, at 2027.0AD. The latter number, using the average 193.985, exactly equals the fraction of the circular arc from the equinox to Polaris (not via Regulus) of the equinox-Polaris-Regulus circle, at 2052.3AD though with a large error bar.

Thus three dates with small error bars,

2028.6, 2025.1, 2027.0AD,

the first date corresponding to the declination of Algieba and the latter two corresponding to the direction and distance to my discovery, Barbarossa, from the equinox along the circle including Regulus, cluster with mean 2026.9 +/- SEM 1.0 AD.
Joe Keller Posted - 22 Jun 2014 : 23:00:25
The Mother Lode of Archaeoastronomy

The library is closing so I don't have time for details.

The angle of Teotihuacan is usually said to be 15deg25'. This is between North and the Avenue, east of North, but there is another obvious angle: the angle between North and the inter-Pyramid line (centers of Pyramids of Moon & Sun), west of North, which I measured on Millon's hardcopy map at the Iowa State Univ. library, as 2.11deg +/- 0.02deg.

These angles, and their sum, correspond to three astronomical angles at the present epoch. These angles are at their intersection at the autumnal equinox, between three circles on the celestial sphere (generally not great circles). All the circles contain Regulus and the autumnal equinox of date. Also:

Circle #1 contains Spica.

Circle #2 contains the vernal equinox.

Circle #3 contains the North Pole (Polaris gives an even better fit).

For the equinox, ecliptic and positions of 2000.0 AD, #3 & #1 intersect at 17.76748deg, and for 2020.0 AD, 17.55209deg.

For the intersection of #2 & #1 (#2 lies between #1 & #3) the angles are resp. 2.32217 & 2.26664.

The agreement is perfect, by linear extrapolation, at 2077.7 AD for the former and 2022.7 AD for the latter. A small pole-shift adjustment to true north, based on the alignment at Giza determined by Petrie, does not affect the latter but improves the former to 2050.1 AD.
Jim Posted - 16 Jun 2014 : 12:00:49
Dr Joe, It is one of several tiny effects swept aside in astronomy. The fact the moon orbits the sun is another tiny effect. My reason for bringing up stuff like this is they are far more important to events related to the climate and weather on Earth than anything done by humans such as the vapor trails of jet plains. Back in Newton's time it made sense to avoid tiny details since he had to work with ink and a quill pen. We have powerful computers currently being misused that could be used to determine what these real and tiny forces do.
Joe Keller Posted - 15 Jun 2014 : 18:34:10
quote:
Originally posted by Jim

...since our planet receives ~7% more sun light in the month of Dec. than it gets in June why is zero cooling noticed in June?



Good point: the usual explanation is, that the seasons are more extreme in the southern hemisphere because they're tipped away from the sun and farther from the sun at the same time. But all this is open to being questioned.
Jim Posted - 14 Jun 2014 : 09:42:07
Dr Joe, The blackbody law predicts the power level of radiators and since our lovely planet is radiating at some level above 275K how much energy is it radiating? Also, since our planet receives ~7% more sun light in the month of Dec. than it gets in June why is zero cooling noticed in June?
Joe Keller Posted - 13 Jun 2014 : 18:48:20
"Chemtrails"

Over the years there's been speculation that the increased width and persistence of the white trails left by some jets, to the extent that they often cover much of the sky, is due to a fuel additive (such as barium salts or metallic microfibers) that is part of a government program to cool the Earth. Most people who discuss the topic date the appearance of the new so-called "chemtrails" to 1996, and that's when I first noticed them.

I found some confirmation of this in the current issue, July 2014, of Sky & Telescope, "Illuminating Earthshine", p. 55:

"...Earth's albedo made a distinct jump (by roughly 0.5%) from late 1998 through mid-2000, and then afterward it largely leveled off. By comparison, the Sun's output varies only by about 0.1% over an 11-year-long solar cycle."

The Stefan-Boltzmann law (which says that radiated energy is proportional to the fourth power of absolute temperature) gives an estimate of how much this would affect Earth's temperature. I think the most appropriate definition of Earth's albedo would be the "Bond albedo", 29%. So if reflectance is 0.5% more, then absorption is affected proportionally less, by a factor 29/(100-29):

300K * 0.005/4 * 29/71 = 0.15 degrees centigrade colder
Joe Keller Posted - 07 Jun 2014 : 18:02:12
What time is indicated by the trilithons of the large horseshoe at Stonehenge?

My previous posts explain why it is reasonable to suppose that the orientation of the trilithons relative to the posthole AB line, indicates declinations of four particular bright stars. My first effort used the trilithons in isolation. Correcting for precession and proper motion, I now find that the times indicated this way are

Rigel 1953AD
Regulus 1444AD
Spica 1915AD
Procyon 1902AD

The outlier, Regulus, corresponds the trilithon that was re-erected. As I mentioned in my previous post, there is reason to think that re-erection was misguided by an overly simple idea of the stone arrangement.

As discussed previously, the position of the four trilithons on their circle, gives another set of implied declinations. Using a slight correction to the positions, to make the circle perfect, I find the indicated times are

Rigel 2172.5 AD
Regulus 2024.4 AD
Spica 2012.3 AD
Procyon 2012.3 AD

While the agreement between Spica and Procyon must be partly accidental, it is remarkable that Spica and Procyon do correspond to the only pristine trilithons. Rigel's trilithon has one pillar fallen, so I had to guess the center position. As mentioned above, Regulus' trilithon was re-erected.

So we have a remarkable agreement with the theory that Stonehenge was yet another 2012 predictor, in addition to Giza, Teotihuacan, and Cholula.
Joe Keller Posted - 07 Jun 2014 : 17:57:01
What time is indicated by the trilithons of the large horseshoe at Stonehenge?

My previous posts explain why it is reasonable to suppose that the orientation of the trilithons relative to the posthole AB line, indicates declinations of four particular bright stars. My first effort used the trilithons in isolation. Correcting for precession and proper motion, I now find that the times indicated this way are

Rigel 1953AD
Regulus 1444AD
Spica 1915AD
Procyon 1902AD

The outlier, Regulus, corresponds the trilithon that was re-erected. As I mentioned in my previous post, there is reason to think that re-erection was misguided by an overly simple idea of the stone arrangement.

As discussed previously, the position of the four trilithons on their circle, gives another set of implied declinations. Using a slight correction to the positions, to make the circle perfect, I find the indicated times are

Rigel 2172.5 AD
Regulus 2024.4 AD
Spica 2012.3 AD
Procyon 2012.3 AD

While the agreement between Spica and Procyon must be partly accidental, it is remarkable that Spica and Procyon do correspond to the only pristine trilithons. Rigel's trilithon has one pillar fallen, so I had to guess the center position. As mentioned above, Regulus' trilithon was re-erected.

So we have a remarkable agreement with the theory that Stonehenge was yet another 2012 predictor, in addition to Giza, Teotihuacan, and Cholula.
Jim Posted - 02 Jun 2014 : 19:52:56
Dr Joe, I wish you would apply your education and talents on figuring how much energy is needed to force the ice cycle. I figure it only requires a few degrees of temperature change at ~273K to go one way or the other. The energy flux can be moved by plate tectonics under the ocean. That would explain how North Africa and the American SW were green and wet 15,000 years ago. The ocean warm spots migrate north and south over time.
Joe Keller Posted - 02 Jun 2014 : 19:18:13
quote:
Originally posted by Jim

...energy flows within the mantle of our planet cause this ice cycle. ...



This idea of yours, seems likely to me now too. Some powerful physical phenomenon would have been required to reset the lunar ephemeris, at the time of the Younger Dryas.
Jim Posted - 02 Jun 2014 : 15:07:10
Hi Dr Joe, Your latest post is exciting to me in that the ice age cycle can be understood by applying blackbody law to solve the problem. The idea that some event in the cosmos can be eliminated by doing the math. Being a math major you must see forming and melting ice requires the movement of energy from one place to another. It is clear to me that energy flows within the mantle of our planet cause this ice cycle. This is just another fact not yet known to science and yet another indication how poor our standard science really is. It is not even yet known that enough heat does flow from the mantle to effect the climate in any way.
Joe Keller Posted - 01 Jun 2014 : 18:38:31
Proof that "The Younger Dryas" was a catastrophic local astrophysical event

Simon et al (Astronomy & Astrophysics, 1994; p. 669, sec. 3.4.(a.1.) ) give fourth degree polynomials for the lunar mean perigee and node referred to J2000 coordinates. These polynomials imply that a maximum rate of progression of the mean perigee, occurred at t = - 12,809 years before 2000.0 AD, and that a maximum rate of retrogression of the mean node, occurred at t = - 12,683 years before 2000.0 AD.

Fiedel (Quaternary International, 2011; pp. 262-266) says that the highest resolution ice cores (the "NGRIP" study) date the sudden (reaching minimum within a year) and persistent drop in North Atlantic ocean surface temperature near Greenland (based on deuterium isotope levels) as t = - 12,897 +/- 3 years before 2000.0 AD. NGRIP also found that the initial drop in temperature on Greenland itself (based on oxygen isotope levels) occurred at t = - 12,925 +/- 59, and that the minimum temperature in Greenland occurred about two centuries later at t = - 12,712 +/- 74.

The similarity of all these dates suggests that the Younger Dryas was caused by an astronomical catastrophe which reset the celestial clockwork.

At such large t, the truncation error of the series seems large. So, I fitted a sinusoid, to the polynomial for the rate of progression of the perigee, by matching all three of its derivatives at t=0: the resulting sinusoid has period 76,888.5 yr, and its most recent extremum is a maximum at t = - 14,232. Likewise for the rate of retrogression of the node, the resulting sinusoid has period 76,399.0 yr, and most recent extremum a minimum (i.e. large negative) at t = - 14,088. So the agreement is not merely an accident of truncation error.
Joe Keller Posted - 27 May 2014 : 15:42:14
Stonehenge - marker of present Declinations of Procyon, Spica, Regulus, Rigel


(Some of this content is review of my previous post to Dr. Van Flandern's messageboard.)

According to VizieR's online Bright Star Catalog, the epoch 2000.0, J2000.0 coordinate, Declinations of Procyon, Spica, Regulus, and Rigel, are

+5.225, -11.161, +11.967, and -8.202 degrees, resp.

According to my ruler, straightedge and right angle measurements (done twice and averaged, once by estimating the standing stone centers and again from their best faces) on the map on p. 109 of Balfour's popular book, "Stonehenge and its Mysteries" (1979) the angles north of the "Avenue", formed by horseshoe trilithon stones 51-52, stones 53-54, stones 57-58 (fell in 1797 & re-erected in 1958), and stone 60-?59A (59A has fallen; base position estimated) are

+6.89, -13.75, +18.63, -10.61

Here I use Richard Atkinson's azimuth for the "Avenue"; it is only 0.087 deg north of my measurement of the Heel stone - base of Slaughter stone line. The ratios of these angles to the Declinations above, are

1.319, 1.232, 1.557, 1.294; mean 1.350

The trilithon corresponding to Regulus was re-erected; the restorers perhaps were unduly influenced by the overall curve of the horseshoe, which makes a greater angle with the Avenue than do the separate trilithons (see below). Omitting Regulus leaves 1.319, 1.232, and 1.294, mean 1.282.

Perhaps a more accurate way to find an azimuth at one of the horseshoe trilithons, is to fit an ellipse to the horseshoe trilithons (as done by Alexander Thom; see Balfour p. 44) and find the angle on the ellipse. I chose to fit the ellipse to only the four points which I judged to be at the centers of the four trilithons discussed above. My fifth constraint for choosing the ellipse, was that its axes be orthogonal to my measurement of the Stonehole A-B line (this line is 2.01deg farther north than Atkinson's, but my fitted ellipse is so nearly circular, b/a = 0.990, that this hardly alters the resulting ellipse). At the midpoints of the trilithons, the tangents to this nearly circular ellipse are resp.

+18.778, -40.191, +33.249, -22.436 (these angles would be 2.01deg more positive if Atkinson's Avenue azimuth were used)

and the ratios to the 2000.0 Declinations are

3.594, 3.601, 2.778, 2.735

So on the southeast side of the horseshoe, the ratio is about 3.60 and on the northwest side, about 2.76. Note that 3.60/2.76 = 1.30, near the 1.35 (or 1.28 if Regulus is omitted) found above. According to the information given in Balfour, the ratio of the main Sarsen circle to the bluestone circle, is 29.6 meters / 76 feet = 1.28. According to my measurement on Balfour's map, the ratio of the Aubrey hole circle to the main sarsen circle, is 2.83. The product 1.28 * 2.83 = 3.62.

The relationship of Earth to Venus makes the integers 8 and 13 obvious choices; their sidereal period ratio is 365.256/224.701 = 13.0042 /8. The square root of 13 is 3.606 and the square root of 8 is 2.828. These small multiples, sqrt(13), sqrt(8), and sqrt(13/8), of the Declinations, improve the net accuracy possible for us, surveying the damaged stones millennia later. It was natural to have the Aubrey circle with 8 times the area of the main sarsen circle, and the Aubrey circle with 13 times the area of the bluestone circle.

Regarding the choice of stars, Regulus and Spica are obvious choices because they are bright and lie so near the ecliptic. Of all the stars brighter than Spica (and Regulus), Rigel is the southern star nearest the (2000.0 epoch) equator and Procyon the northern star nearest the (2000.0 epoch) equator, so they also are obvious choices.

The foregoing suggests that Stonehenge is another "precessional alarm clock" (phrase popularized by John Major Jenkins) indicating our present epoch.
Jim Posted - 16 May 2014 : 23:12:04
Another key fact ignored by science is the people who erected Stonehenge were just as intelligent as us modern people and they had less distractions like computers,cell phones,tv and cars. So, they had lots of time for other activities like moving rocks. They must have had thought patterns somewhat different than anything we can conceive of. Also it must have been possible to walk from England to Giza back then. North Africa was wet and green 5,000 years ago so trip would have been very easy.
Joe Keller Posted - 16 May 2014 : 18:31:38
quote:
Originally posted by Jim

...I think most of the evidence is under water because sea levels were much lower when it was erected. ...


I agree - this is a key fact.

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